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REPORTS & ANALYSIS

STRATEGIC MAP

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SITREP (VIDEO)

Articles (Geopolitics)

SITUATION OVERVIEW

Point of view

STATE ADMINISTRATION COUNCIL (SAC) / MILITARY PROVISIONAL GOVERNMENT

"I guarantee the establishment of a union based on democracy and federalism...

...I pledge to hold the multiparty general election without fail...

... accomplish the provisions of the state of emergency by August 2023"
Senior General, Min Aung Hlaing
Chairman, State Administration Council
Myanmar

1 August 2021
...Min Aung Hlaing named himself prime minister reneging on his promise to hold election after the end of a one year state of emergency in a televised address on Sunday, extending it for another 2 years from now until August 2023; while forming a provisional government under his prime minister-ship.

Point of view

MILITARY / STATE ADMINISTRATION COUNCIL (SAC)

"Myanmar side is committed to promoting national stability, economic growth and improvement of people's livelihoods, and safeguarding democracy and the rule of law."

Senior General, Min Aung Hlaing
Chairman, State Administration Council
Myanmar

6 June 2021
...according to a release of the Chinese embassy of Myanmar.

Demands / Objectives

STATE ADMINISTRATION COUNCIL (SAC)
During the television message by Tatmadaw Chief, Sen-Gen Min Aung Hlaing on 9 Feb 2021, introducing the five-point plan for the one-year emergency state.
9 Feb 2021
  • According to the plan, Myanmar will continue to follow its current political path and shall not bring amendments to current foreign, executive and economic policies.
  • The newly reformed Union Election Commission is reviewing the electoral process of last year’s general election.
  • The ongoing Covid-19 programs will not be discontinued. Moreover, emphasis will be given to the distribution of vaccines all over the country. National and International investments will be encouraged to help the businesses affected by the pandemic.
  • In order to promote eternal peace, nationwide ceasefire agreements will be called with ethnic armed organizations.
  • A fair and free general election will be held and the power of the state will be handed to a political party which wins in line with democracy standards.

Point of view

NATIONAL UNITY GOVERNMENT (NUG)

"This revolution is a just and fair revolution and is necessary to build a federal union with sustainable peace"

Duwa Lashi La
Acting President, National Unity Government
Myanmar
7 September 2021
...in an emergency speech announced on Tuesday that the people’s “resistance war” against the junta had started and urged the public across the country to revolt against the military coup regime led by Min Aung Hlaing. Called on the NUG’s People’s Defence Force (PDF) to target “every pillar of the junta’s ruling mechanism,” as well as to protect the lives of Myanmar’s people, to follow orders and to behave in line with the PDF’s code of conduct.

Point of view

NATIONAL UNITY GOVERNMENT (NUG)

"The transition from a military council to a caretaker government is a reflection of the fact that they are preparing for an international diplomatic battle, trying to prove the fact that they are a government.

However, there is no denying the fact that the military is not elected by the people"

Aung Myo Min
Minister for Human Rights, National Unity Government
Myanmar

1 August 2021
...in a post on Facebook in reaction to the transition of SAC to Provisional Government.

Point of view

NATIONAL UNITY GOVERNMENT (NUG)

"Any discussions, any meeting about the future of the people of Myanmar must include the people of Myanmar, (their) voices must be heard"

Sa Sa
Spokesperson, National Unity Government
Myanmar

7 June 2021
...objecting to the meeting held between ASEAN leaders and "oppressive military regime" to be held that Friday on 4 June 2021.

Point of view

EUROPEAN UNION (EU)

"Given the complete refusal by the military junta to engage in negotiations and their growing repression, the EU is also working on a new sanctions package to further defend human rights."

Josep Borrell
EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy
Vice-President of the European Commission

15 June 2021
...in an article to the BusinessWorld on this visit to Jakarta and ASEAN.

Point of view

UNITED NATIONS (UN)

"I am in contact with almost every ethnic armed organization to discuss how we can solve the overall problem in the country to find a peaceful solution. And I’m sure talking is always better than violence."

Schraner Burgener
UN Special Envoy on Myanmar

18 June 2021
...spoke to journalists following her closed-door briefing to the UN Security Council.

Point of view

ASEAN

"To be honest with you, we are disappointed at the slow – very, very slow progress,"

Vivian Balakrishnan
Foreign Minister of Singapore

7 June 2021
...told Singapore media in a call from Chongqing, China, where ASEAN foreign ministers met their Chinese counterpart on Monday, 7 June 2021.

Declaration Of War

NATIONAL UNITY GOVERNMENT (NUG)
In a recorded emergency speech by the acting President, Duwa Lashi La
7 September 2021
  • People's resistance war against the junta had started
  • Urging public to revolt against the military coup regime
  • People's Defense Force (PDF) to target "every pillar of the junta's ruling mechanism"
  • Urge local administrators working under the junta to resign
  • Warned people not to undertake unnecessary travel, stock up on food and medical supplies
  • Call on people to help the PDFs and civilian resistance forces by becoming informants of military activities
  • Urged ethnic armed organisations to attack coup regime forces in every way possible / maintain control over their territories
  • Call on Border Guard Forces, junta-allied militias, soldiers and police to defect
  • Declare all civilian departments and offices under the military council to be closed indefinitely
Demands / Objectives

NATIONAL UNITY GOVERNMENT (NUG)
In an interview from an undisclosed location with the Nikkei Asia
25 April 2021
  • There will be "no compromise" between the civilian National Unity Government of Myanmar and the military regime unless the junta, known as the State Administration Council, met all of four conditions laid out by the Party.
  • Demands military junta to restore the democratically elected government and parliamentarians from the democratically held November elections.
  • Release of State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi
  • End to violence against the protesting anti-coup civilians
  • Removal of soldiers from Myanmar Streets
  • Release of prisoners arrested arbitrarily by junta.

LATEST ON MYANMAR

Kachin Independence Army (KIA) issued warning to civilians in Kachin State, not to carry ammunication or food for the Tatmadaw

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Lwin Mar Aye@LwinMarAye14 The Kachin Independence Army’s (KIA) 2nd Brigade’s 11th Battalion issued a warning to civil society vehicles, passenger vans and private cars,in #Kachin State, not to carry ammunition and food for military. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar#June25Coup

Shan State Progressive Party reportedly forced enlisting people in Namhkam to join their army.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

ayemonm.@___masijapepsi Shan State Progress Party in Northern Shan State, is now abducting Shan people in Namkhan to join their army. They told the family that abducted family member has died but refused to return the dead body. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar

Brigade 1 of Karen National Liberation Army (KNLA) clashed with Tatmadaw and Karen Border Guard Force at Hpa-an, Kayin State; 8 Junta troops reportedly killed, 4 others injured. No KNLA casualties reported.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Arakan Army (AA) seized weapons from junta police deployed on the grounds of the sacred Mahamuni Buddha Temple in Kyauktaw, Rakhine State.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Ethnic armed group the Arakan Army (AA) has seized weapons from junta police deployed on the grounds of the sacred Mahamuni Buddha Temple in Kyauktaw, Rakhine State. AA troops surrounded the temporary police outpost at the temple at around 1am on Sunday and disarmed the more than 20 police officers from the Mrauk-U police battalion…

Air defense station found in Ottarathiri Township, Ottara District, north of Nay Pyi Taw on Google map

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Military paratroopers spotted in the air over Thaketa township, Yangon

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Ah Lynn အလင်း@AhLynn_Light Replying to @nslwinMyanmar military fascist Air forces was unusually parachuting over Yangon’s Thaketa township at 1:30pm today.A resident said he has never seen such strange and hostile parachuting over his neighborhood before.@mbachelet@UNinMyanmar@antonioguterres@UN#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar

Fighting between PDF fighters and Junta forces in Chanmyathazi township, Mandalay on 22 June 2021

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

The Irrawaddy (Eng)@IrrawaddyNews Bomb blasts were reported in various places in #Mandalay after a clash between People’s Defense Force fighters and junta troops on Tuesday in Chan Mya Thazi Township. The attacks were supposedly carried out by PDF fighters on police stations.(Photo: CJ) #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar

2 bomb explosions reported at a high school in Bahmo, Kachin State

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Save Myanmar @htwe711 Two bombs explode at Moemawk (Nmawk) High School in Bahmaw District at around 9 am this morning. Local said, three people injured. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar#Kachin

2 explosion reported in Hlaing Township, Yangon

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

WEEEKLY MYANMAR ( MYANMAR DAILEEE )@WeeeklyMyanmar 2 bomb explosions occurred in Hlaing Tsp, Yangon this morning and no injuries were reported. #June25Coup#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar

Bomb discovered in the office of the Ward Superintendent of Dagon Seikkan Township. 3 arrested by the security forces.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Bomb exploded at the Immigration Dept Building in Mayangone Township, Yangon

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Pyae Sone Aung@PyaeS77 #Mayangone Township, A bomb exploded at the back of the Immigration Office in the historical quarter at 2.30 pm today, locals reported.(#Myanmar security forces). #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar#June27Coup#RecognizeNUG

[ Asia Times ] New age rebels rock and roil Myanmar’s junta

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

The future for Myanmar thus looks bleak, with only a split within the Tatmadaw likely able to bring about fundamental change. But there are no signs yet of that happening as Myanmar’s resistance shifts from peaceful protests to more violent means. The most the “new rebels”, alone or together with ethnic allies, may be able…

Two explosions reported at a high school and a monastery in HaungPa village, Hpakant, Mohnyin District, Kachin State

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

조은이@Sunflow24456399 Two bomb explosions occurred at a high school and near a monastery respectively in HaungPa village, Hpakant around 6am on June 27. Myanmar Terrorists’ terrorized actions are getting worse day by day! #RecognizeNUG#June28Coup#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar

Explosion went off in the middle of a protest against the Shan State Progressive Party and the Shan State Army in Namhkam, Shan State, seriously injuring 2. It is reportedly a suicide attack by 2 individuals who died immediately.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Bomb reported went off on Bogyoke Road in Kalay, Sagaing

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Sarah Erica@SarahErica9 Bomb exploded between Innwa Bank and Myanmar ShaeSaung Bank on BoGyoke Road in Kalay,Sagaing at around 12 this afternoon. #RecognizeNUG#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar#June28Coup

Kachin Independence Army (KIA)’s Brigade 5 attacked a checkpoint Balaminhtin Bridge, which links Myitkyina and Waingmaw townships, the Kachin State | Military shell KIA controlled areas in response.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Two junta police were injured on Wednesday night when ethnic armed group the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) attacked a checkpoint just outside Myitkyina, the Kachin State capital. Troops from the KIA’s Brigade 5 attacked the checkpoint at Balaminhtin Bridge, which links Myitkyina and Waingmaw townships, around 7.40pm. The KIA said its fighters withdrew after attacking…

[ Myanmar Now ]Tanker carrying jet fuel due to arrive in Yangon on Saturday

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

A tanker ship carrying airplane fuel is scheduled to arrive in Yangon on Saturday after departing from Singapore’s Jurong Island on Tuesday, according to data from several marine tracking websites. The Panama-registered tanker SANTYA is loaded with Jet A1 fuel, which can be used both for commercial aviation and military aircraft, documents seen by Myanmar…

Firefight between military forces and PDF-Mingin near Than Pauk village, Mingin Township, Sagaing. 15 junta soldiers reportedly killed.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 28, 2021

Another firefight occurred in the afternoon near Than Pauk Village. There were around 30 military casualties, claimed the spokesperson for the PDF-Mingin. Local media said that at least 15 junta soldiers were killed in the shootouts. However, The Irrawaddy was unable to confirm that figure independently. “We didn’t want to fight as we were helping…

[ The Irrawady ] Chinese-Backed New City Project on Myanmar-Thai Border Under COVID-19 Lockdown

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 22, 2021

Myanmar authorities have locked down the controversial China-backed Shwe Kokko new city project in Karen State, eastern Myanmar following a spike in COVID-19 infections in the area. The lockdown comes as Myanmar is experiencing a recent rapid rise in coronavirus cases, with a total of 546 new infections reported nationwide on June 19 alone, according…

[ CNA / AP ] Debate over Myanmar upends start to UN rights body session

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 21, 2021

The United Nations’ top human rights body opened its latest session on Monday (Jun 21) and was immediately embroiled in a debate over the representation of Myanmar, where a military takeover toppled the civilian government in February. Western countries said that two planned debates about the human rights situation in Myanmar at the Human Rights Council’s…

[ The ASEAN Post ] Myanmar Leader In Moscow For Security Conference

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 21, 2021

Junta leader Min Aung Hlaing left the capital Naypyidaw Sunday on a special flight to attend the Moscow Conference for International Security, state-run MRTV said. He was attending at “the invitation of Russian Defence Minister,” it said, adding he had been “greeted” by the Russian ambassador to Myanmar at the airport. It did not give…

UN General Assembly voted 199-1 (36 abstain) to call for an end to arms sales to Myanmar’s military junta.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 19, 2021

UNGA adopted resolution with an overwhelming vote to denounce arm sales to Myanmar’s military in the light of the military coup and violence. “The risk of a large-scale civil war is real. Time is of the essence. The opportunity to reverse the military takeover is narrowing.” UN special envoy on Myanmar, Christine Schraner Burgener, told…

[ Myanmar Now ] Anti-regime group bombs condo project linked to junta cabinet member

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 19, 2021

A high-end condominium project owned by the family of a junta cabinet member was bombed on Thursday morning, in the latest of a series of attacks on pro-regime targets. The construction site of the 68 Residence luxury condominium project in Yangon’s Bahan Township was hit by an explosion at around 5am on Thursday, sources said.…

[ The Irrawaddy ] Myanmar Military Truck With Soldiers on Board Blown Up in Yangon

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 18, 2021

An army truck with regime soldiers on board was blown up in Yangon’s Tamwe Township on Friday afternoon in the most serious attack to date on a junta target in the city. Witnesses said they saw soldiers on board the truck, which was parked outside an office of the military proxy Union Solidarity and Development…

[ The Irrawaddy ] Time Is Right for India to Step In and Help Solve Myanmar Crisis

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 18, 2021

The Myanmar junta chief’s candid admission that his regime is not in full control of the country ravaged by a civil war offers an opportunity for India to step in to mitigate the crisis. Last month, Senior General Min Aung Hlaing reportedly said in a television interview that he did not expect to see such an uprising…

[ Myanmar Now ]Armed USDP supporters destroy homes of pro-NLD villagers in Kanbalu

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 18, 2021

Armed members of the military-allied Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) destroyed four homes in a village in Sagaing Region’s Kanbalu Township on Wednesday, according to local sources.  About 50 USDP members and supporters carrying guns, sticks and knives gathered at the party’s office in Yi Dway village at 6am before proceeding to the homes…

[ BusinessWorld ] The European Union and ASEAN are natural partners and have a common agenda

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 16, 2021

“The EU launched in April 2021 an Indo-Pacific strategy, with one key message: we want to step up our engagement and work with our partners to boost trade and investment, economic openness, and a sustainable approach to connectivity in the region. Besides being an economic powerhouse, the EU is also ready to be a political…

[ Radio Free Asia ] More Than 10,000 Displaced by Renewed Fighting in Myanmar’s Battle-Ravaged Chin State

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 16, 2021

More than 10,000 people have fled their homes in Myanmar’s Chin state amid renewed fighting between junta troops and anti-coup militias in the region, according to sources, who reported casualties from clashes on Tuesday. A refugee told RFA that thousands had fled Mindat township to the surrounding mountains and jungle to escape the fighting, which resumed…

[ News18 ] Chief minister of Myanmar’s Chin state, Salai Lian Luai, among 9,247 people taking refuge in Champhai, Mizoram, India

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 16, 2021

The chief minister of Myanmar’s Chin state, Salai Lian Luai, is among 9,247 people who have taken refuge in Mizoram following a military coup in the neighbouring country in February, a senior police officer said on Tuesday. Chin, a state in Western Myanmar, shares its Western border with Mizoram. “The Chin state chief minister crossed…

[ Reuters ] Myanmar militia group halts attacks on troops; Suu Kyi ‘confident’ in court

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 16, 2021

A militia group in Myanmar’s conflict-torn Kayah State announced a halt to attacks on military targets on Tuesday, after appeals from local communities to cease fighting that had damaged homes and displaced more than 100,000 people. The Karenni National Defence Force (KNDF), one of the largest of several civilian militias formed in recent weeks to…

Karreni army confirmed to have fought in the battle between Myanmar military and the Karreni PDF in Demoso on Jun 11

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 16, 2021

AMee@MayZawHtoo2 The funeral of Karenni army’s Lt. Col. Shaw Reh (B) Shaw Phe, killed during a clash between Myanmar’s military junta and the Karenni People’s Defence Force in Demoso, Kayah, on Jun 11, was held today (June 14) in the KNPP-controlled area. Photo: KnIC #WhatsHappengingInMyanmar

[ The Irrawaddy ] Striking Myanmar Military Officers Urge Public to Reach Out to Dissident Soldiers

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 15, 2021

Striking Myanmar military officers have urged the public to welcome and protect military personnel who join the Civil Disobedience Movement (CDM) as well as their families. Taking part in an online discussion organized by the civil society organization Thanakha Global Alliance on Friday, striking military officers said at least 800 military personnel ranging in rank…

[ CNA ] Myanmar junta accuses ethnic armies over bombings

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 15, 2021

Myanmar’s junta on Saturday (Jun 12) accused some of the country’s two dozen ethnic armed groups of providing training to its opponents to carry out a wave of bombings that it said had targeted public buildings including schools.  Bomb attacks have become a daily occurrence as the army struggles to impose authority after seizing power…

Defunct Rohingya Solidarity Organisation (RSO) reappeared on social media to pledge fight against the Military regime

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 15, 2021

The Rohingya Solidarity Organisation (RSO), a political organisation founded in 1982, which armed branch had merged into the Rohingya National Army (RNA) in 1998, had reappeared on social media, pledging to fight the “facist military” and fight for the human rights of the Rohingya people. Formerly designed as a terrorist organisation, fighters from RSO were…

[ Myanmar Now ] Military gives cash to families of assassinated Yangon administrators

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 14, 2021

The junta has given cash donations to the families of local administrators who were among those assassinated for working with the regime in recent weeks, state-run newspapers reported over the weekend.  Lieutenant General Soe Htut, the military council’s minister of home affairs, gave payments of 500,000 kyat each to seven families at a meeting in…

[ CNA ] Myanmar’s anti-junta movement shows viral support for Rohingya

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 14, 2021

Activists and civilians took to social media on Sunday to post pictures of themselves wearing black and flashing a three-finger salute of resistance, in posts tagged “#Black4Rohingya”. “Justice must (be) served for each of you and each of us in Myanmar,” said prominent rights activist Thinzar Shunlei Yi on Twitter. By afternoon, the #Black4Rohingya hashtag…

The National Unity Government (NUG) of Myanmar designates State Administration Council (SAC)’s Tatmadaw as terrorists organisation.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 13, 2021

Accusations by NUG on SAC’s Tatmadaw and affiliated organisation includes: Killing of more than 800 civilians using lethal weapons Arbitrary detentions of over 5000 people Torture and sexual abuse of imprisoned people Decimation of economy Disregard for food crisis Abandonment of COVID CERP program Collapse of healthcare system Massive money laundering operations The designation and…

[ Frontier Myanmar ] ‘Our revolution is starting’: Urban guerrillas prepare to step up killings, bombings

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 13, 2021

“We can’t protest on the street because the army and security forces shoot us with real bullets. But we must revolt against the junta, so we choose armed revolution,” Min Wai told Frontier on May 24, asking not to reveal his real name for safety reasons. That month, he and his friends travelled from Yangon to an…

[ AFP ] New fighting in east Myanmar displaces around 100,000: UN

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 10, 2021

An estimated 100,000 people have been displaced by new fighting between Myanmar’s military and rebel groups in the east of the coup-stricken country, the UN said Tuesday. Myanmar has been in chaos and its economy paralysed since the generals ousted Aung San Suu Kyi’s government in February, accusing it of fraud during 2020 elections. Fighting…

[ NZ Herald ] Myanmar’s Aung San Suu Kyi faces bribery charge – with up to 15 years in jail most severe penalty yet

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 10, 2021

The Anti-Corruption Commission in military-ruled Myanmar has found that ousted leader Aung San Suu Kyi accepted bribes and misused her authority to gain advantageous terms in real estate deals, government-controlled media reported Thursday. Suu Kyi’s lawyers already denied the allegations when they were first raised three months ago by the military regime that toppled her…

[ BBC ] Myanmar: The mysterious deaths of the NLD party officials

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 8, 2021

The violence used by Myanmar’s armed forces against unarmed opponents since the coup in February has shocked the world; more than 800 people have been killed, most by military gunfire. But the deaths in custody of two officials from the National League of Democracy – the party led by Aung San Suu Kyi – have…

[ Reuters ] China Will Always Support Myanmar in Choosing Its Own Path, Says Senior Diplomat

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 8, 2021

BEIJING (Reuters) – China will always support Myanmar in choosing its own developmental path, Chinese senior diplomat Wang yi told his Myanmar counterpart on Tuesday. Wang assured Myanmar foreign minister Wunna Maung Lwin that China’s friendly policy towards Myanmar was not affected by changes to Myanmar’s domestic and external situation, according to a statement by…

Asia Times: Why Suu Kyi can’t and won’t democratize Myanmar.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | February 8, 2019

Why Suu Kyi can’t and won’t democratize Myanmar Is Myanmar headed towards more representative and less military-steered democracy? On February 6, Myanmar’s parliament voted to establish a new preparatory committee to deliberate amending the country’s military-drafted 2008 constitution, which gives the armed forces an outsized “leadership role” in politics. If you do not understand the…

Hindustan Times: Why Amnesty was wrong to strip Myanmar’s Aung San Suu Kyi of top honour

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | November 24, 2018

Why Amnesty was wrong to strip Myanmar’s Aung San Suu Kyi of top honour The vilification of Aung San Suu Kyi continues unabated. Whether it is Amnesty International or United States vice-president, Mike Pence, no one, it seems, can wait to signal their virtue by throwing an egg at her face. The author is exactly…

Washington Post: Facebook blocks accounts of Myanmar’s top general, other military leaders

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 28, 2018

Facebook blocks accounts of Myanmar’s top general, other military leaders SINGAPORE – When Facebook officials heard that a damning U.N. report would again make a link between hate speech on the social media site and atrocities in Myanmar, they knew they had to act, a person familiar with their thinking said. Without consulting the Myanmar…