Geopolitics

Threat of total cut in trade between China and USA lowers after China’s softened stance…

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | May 13, 2025 |

In a surprise U-turn by China, after strong words of not talking to USA or negotiating with USA without USA first eliminating their tariffs on China, China delegation met with USA delegation at Geneva, Switzerland between 10-12 May 2025. China and USA both agree to drop reciprocal-retaliation tariffs to 10% for 90 days – effectively…

Europeans Don’t Know Who They Are (Anymore)

By Carlo Peroni | May 6, 2025 |

With the fall of the Soviet Union, there was nothing to challenge the status quo of Western dominance over the world. European leaders were happy to be part of the VIP club under the direct command of the only ruling master: Uncle Sam. For the first time in 10,000 years of human civilization, a single…

[ IND-PAK SITREP ] INDIA ATTACK expected within 24-36 hours according to Pakistan’s intelligence!!!

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | May 1, 2025 |

DPA RISK OF WAR ASSESSMENT (30 April 2025): HIGH DPA Note (30 April 2025): Pakistan’s Information Minister publicly warned based on “credible intelligence” that India military action is imminent – within 24-36 hours. DPA currently put high credibility to the claim, raising the “Risk of War” assessment level from MID-HIGH to HIGH Pakistan warns that they…

ARTICLES

[ Jamestown Foundation ] Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan’s Latest Merger Enables Renewed Attacks in Pakistan

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 16, 2021

The Pakistani Taliban, known as Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), announced on August 7 that it had merged with a former al-Qaeda-affiliated, anti-state Pakistani jihadist group once led by Ustad Aslam (Umar Media, August 7). It becomes the ninth jihadist group to join the TTP since July 2020. Among the other groups are three TTP splinters, two…

Taliban: The war is over in Afghanistan

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 16, 2021

Taliban spokesman, Mohammad Naeem, for the Taliban’s political office told Al-Jazeera Mubasher TV that the war is over and that the type of rule and the form of regime will be clear soon. This happens as Afghanistan President, Ashraf Ghani fled Afghanistan to Tashkent, Uzbekistan, saying that he wanted to avoid bloodshed – a move…

Petition to call for UN recognition of Myanmar’s National Unity Government (NUG) underway

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 13, 2021

A petition is started on Change.org by “Nang Si Si Win NUG support group Australia” to call for the recognition of Myanmar’s government in exile, the National Unity Government (NUG) by the United Nations General Assembly. When we first encountered the petition, it was around 7000 signed. Currently as of the writing of the article,…

[ Business Insider ] Chinese sleeper agents are trying to enter the UK through a scheme designed for Hong Kongers fleeing the city, report says

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 10, 2021

– Chinese agents are trying to enter the UK with a visa designed to give refuge to Hong Kongers. – Sources told The Times agents try use the visa introduced after China’s new national security law. – It is not clear if any have been successful, and the UK government said it has a strict vetting process.…

[ The Guardian ] Myanmar duo arrested in New York over plot to kill UN ambassador

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 7, 2021

Two Myanmar citizens have been arrested in New York state for plotting with an arms dealer in Thailand – who sells weapons to the Burmese military – to kill or injure Myanmar’s ambassador to the United Nations. The US attorney’s office for the southern district of New York said on Friday that Phyo Hein Htut, 28, and…

[ SCMP ] Biden administration approves its first arms sale to Taiwan

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 5, 2021

The potential US$750 million deal includes 40 new M109 self-propelled howitzers and almost 1,700 kits to convert projectiles into more precise GPS-guided munitions The proposed sale would improve Taiwan’s capability to blunt a Chinese land invasion The US State Department notified Congress on Wednesday of a proposal to sell some US$750 million of weapons to…

[ CNN Philippines ] Duterte admits US vaccine donations persuaded him to cancel VFA termination

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 5, 2021

https://www.cnn.ph/news/2021/8/3/Duterte-US-vaccine-donations-cancelation-of-VFA-termination.html President Rodrigo Duterte revealed on Monday that COVID-19 vaccine donations from the United States played a role in his decision to recall the termination of the Visiting Forces Agreement. “Give and take lang tayo, so pasalamat tayo sa kanila at may naibigay naman ako sa kanila na (we thank them, and I also gave them a) concession,”…

[ The Jerusalem Strategic Tribute ] Can America Regain Global Leadership? A View From Singapore

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 4, 2021

Can America regain global leadership? The question reflects the shock and dismay with which foreign policy establishments in North America and Europe greeted and viewed Donald Trump’s election as the 45th president of the United States. They came to regard what Trump said and did in office between 2017 and 2021 as a repudiation of…

[ Reuters ] U.S., Britain believe Iran attacked Israeli-managed tanker off Oman

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 3, 2021

“Upon review of the available information, we are confident that Iran conducted this attack, which killed two innocent people, using one-way explosive UAVs,” U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in a statement, adding there was “no justification” for the attack. “We are working with our partners to consider our next steps and consulting with…

[ Frontline ] What Is the Fatemiyoun Brigade and Why Does It Make the Taliban Nervous?

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 29, 2021

In the new FRONTLINE report Leaving Afghanistan, correspondent Najibullah Quraishi investigated how Afghanistan’s neighbors — particularly Iran, through its proxy militia, the Fatemiyoun — are looking to fill the void as America withdraws. Quraishi spoke to Taliban leaders and former fighters who claimed Iran is mobilizing the Shia Fatemiyoun within Afghanistan. In return, a Sunni Taliban leader…

[ SCMP ] China pledges support for Taliban in Afghanistan, but demands end to ETIM ties

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 29, 2021

Foreign Minister Wang Yi tells delegation there is no room for links with terror group it blames for Xinjiang attacks Taliban spokesman says meeting in Tianjin covered political, economic and security issues as well as peace process China has pledged support for the Taliban’s role in Afghanistan’s reconstruction, while demanding that it cuts ties with the East Turkestan…

The lack of leadership in the UN exposed by the Myanmar crisis

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 29, 2021

As the monsoon season hits Myanmar, floods turning the plight of the Burmese facing the double threat of both persecution by the military-rules regime and COVID-19 virus into a hellish triple threat. Despite the obvious problem with the military overthrowing the election results, and mandating a one year postponement of a re-election (which there is…

[ USNI News ] Two Iranian Warships Spotted Near English Channel

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 19, 2021

Two Iranian warships are nearing the English Channel, according to satellite photographs reviewed by USNI News. The ships are thought to be headed to the Baltic Sea to represent Iran in a July 25 naval parade off the coast of St. Petersburg to commemorate the 325th anniversary of the Russian Navy

[ The Geopolitics ] The Philippines’ Maoist Guerillas Vow to Resist ‘Imperialist China’

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 19, 2021

…although the network holds deep historical and ideological affinities with Chinese Maoism, they now view contemporary China as a capitalist and imperialist power that is actively violating Philippine sovereignty using a variety of coercive economic and military means, thus making the Chinese state an adversary to be resisted. The recent 100th anniversary of the Communist Party of China (CPC)…

[ The Guardian ] Pakistan detains five Chinese trawlers for alleged illegal fishing

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 15, 2021

Pakistan has detained five Chinese trawlers on suspicion of illegal fishing near its strategic port city of Gwadar, as a wave of protests swept across the region led by fishers concerned about losing control of their fishing grounds to China. The Chinese trawlers, loaded with fish, were taken into custody by the Pakistan Maritime Security…

[ Nikkei Asia ] US does not support Taiwan independence: Kurt Campbell

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 9, 2021

 U.S President Joe Biden’s point man on Asia is “astonished” by China’s determination to play the leading role on the global stage and will “step up” its engagement in Southeast Asia to hold back such a trend. But the administration does not support Taiwan independence and understands the sensitivities involved, Indo-Pacific Coordinator Kurt Campbell said…

[ Reuters ] Indonesia, Thailand consider booster shots amid doubts over Sinovac vaccine

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 9, 2021

But the challenges facing Southeast Asia are much bigger. Many countries in the region rely heavily on Chinese vaccines due to tight supplies of Western products, and have low vaccination rates of less than 10%. They are also battling a record-breaking surge in new cases and deaths, led by the highly contagious Delta variant, while…

[ EastAsiaForum] Why are Chinese troops assembling on the Myanmar border?

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 9, 2021

Source: https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2021/07/03/why-are-chinese-troops-assembling-on-the-myanmar-border/ There is now potential for international escalation as Chinese troops are reported to be assembling in Jiegao, an important border town, which is not unexpected during periods of elevated tension. The troops are said to have rapid response capabilities if it is deemed necessary to guard the Kyaukpyu pipelines. The pipelines are a significant part…

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