Israel-Palestine
Hamas-Israeli (Gaza) Conflict 2023
Hamas: Operation Al-Aqsa Flood
Israel: Operation Iron Swords
REPORTS & ANALYSIS
STRATEGIC MAP: 9/10/2023
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SITREP (VIDEO)
Articles (Geopolitics)
Iran vs Israel — The Morality Cards Game You Cannot Lose
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There was never a country called “Palestine”, yet.
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Hamas-Israeli War 2023: Deep Analysis
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SITUATION OVERVIEW
Point of view
""Our enemy will pay a price the type of which it has never known... We are in a war and we will win it"."
Prime Minister
Israel
... owing to retaliate after Hamas declared war as Israeli's army confirmed fighting with militants in several Israeli towns and military bases near Gaza.
Point of view
"This is the day of the greatest battle to end the last occupation on earth.... Enough is enough. Today the people are regaining their revolution"
Supreme Military Commander
Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades, Hamas
... in the recorded message announcing the start of the operation broadcasted on Hamas media . He said the morning attack on 7 October 2023 was only the start of what he called “Operation Al-Aqsa Storm” and called on Palestinians from east Jerusalem to northern Israel to join the fight..
Point of view
"Palestinian people have the rights to defend themselves in facing the terrorism posed by settlers and the Israeli occupation forces."
President
Palestine
... said during an emergency leadership meeting he chaired on Saturday that included several Palestinian civilian and security officials.
The Palestinian President stressed, during the meeting, the importance of providing the protection for Palestinian people and directed them to provide everything essential to enhance their resilience and steadfastness in the face of the crimes perpetrated by the Israeli occupation forces and the settlers' gangs.
Point of view
"Over the coming days the Department of Defense will work to ensure that Israel has what it needs to defend itself and protect civilians from indiscriminate violence and terrorism.
We will remain in close contact with our Israeli partners. The United States supports Israel's right to defend itself"
Defense Secretary
United States
... says he is "closely monitoring" the escalating situation in Israel after Hamas militants launched a rocket attack on the Gaza Strip.
Point of view
"It is a renewed confirmation that the will of the Palestinian people and the rifle of the resistance is the only choice in confronting aggression and occupation.
It sends a message to the Arab and Islamic world, and the international community as a whole, especially those seeking normalization with this enemy, that the Palestinian cause is an everlasting one, alive until victory and liberation.
We call on the peoples of our Arab and Islamic nation, and the free people around the world, to declare their support and backing for the Palestinian people and the Resistance movements, affirming their unity in blood, word, and action."
Hezbollah
... congratulates the resisting Palestinian people and the heroic fighters of the Palestinian factions, especially our dear brothers in the Al-Qassam Brigades and the Islamic Resistance Movement, Hamas, for the wide-ranging and divinely supported heroic operation, promising complete victory.
Point of view
"The Council affirmed the right of the Palestinian people and the resistance factions to combat the occupying enemy by all legitimate and possible means.
It reiterated his support for all options taken by the Palestinian resistance leadership to deter the Zionist enemy."
Houthi's Supreme Political Council
... also affirmed its principled and religious position in supporting the Palestinian people until complete victory... calling on the Arab and Islamic countries to take positions in supporting Palestinians and their resistance fighters, support them with money, weapons, and boycott American and Israeli goods.
Point of view
"We congratulate the Palestinian fighters. We will stand by the Palestinian fighters until the liberation of Palestine and Jerusalem"
Yahya Rahim Safavi
Adviser to Ali Khamenei and former Chief Commander of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
Iran
... expressed “deep concern” on developments in Gaza and called on “all parties” to halt the escalations and “exercise utmost restraint”.
Point of view
"The Ministry of Foreign Affairs holds Israel alone responsible for the ongoing escalation due to its ongoing violations of the rights of the Palestinian people, the latest of which is the repeated raids on the blessed Al-Aqsa Mosque under the protection of the Israeli police."
... expressed “deep concern” on developments in Gaza and called on “all parties” to halt the escalations and “exercise utmost restraint”.
Point of view
"Saudi Arabia had issued repeated warnings of a possible escalation in light of "the ongoing occupation and the deprivation of the Palestinian people of their legitimate rights, as well as the repeated deliberate provocations against their sanctities."
Saudi Arabia Foreign Ministry
... calls for "an immediate cessation of the escalation" between both sides and "the protection of civilians".
Point of view
"We call on the Palestinian and Israeli sides to immediately ceasefire, renounce violence, show the necessary restraint. The long-lasting conflict between Israel and Palestine cannot be solved by force, but only by diplomatic means
Moscow was standing by its position in favor of negotiations for the creation of an independent Palestinian state within the 1967 borders, with East Jerusalem as its capital, living in peace and security with Israel."
Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman
Russia
... called the parties to set up "a negotiation process aimed at establishing a comprehensive, lasting and long-awaited peace" with the help of the international community.
Point of view
"Deeply shocked by the news of terrorist attacks in Israel. Our thoughts and prayers are with the innocent victims and their families. We stand in solidarity with Israel at this difficult hour"
Prime Minister
India
... said in a post on X.
LATEST ON ISRAEL-PALESTINE
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Leadership Changes in Ukrainian Defense Ministry amid Ongoing Conflict
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Reality’s Revenge in Ukraine – Why the Lacklustre Ukrainian Counteroffensive is a Global Threat to the US
Anthony Blinken recently summed up why NATO continues to place all bets on Ukraine. If the ‘Rules-Based Order’ loses in Ukraine, then Russia will open a ‘Pandora’s box’ of other challengers across the globe.[1] However, it seems that the box is already sliding open despite NATO’s no-holds barred approach to Ukraine. The sliding towards a…
Implications of Exodus of Soviet-Era Weaponry Around the World to Ukraine
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The Second Mexican-American War
This article is part two of a two-part series. Read the first part here: https://defensepoliticsasia.com/the-second-pacific-war/ As the world looked away, enthralled, with the actions of America abroad, primarily in Afghanistan and Iraq, but not exclusively so and then as it became enthralled, in more recent years, with the various developments that have occurred, ranging from…
The Second Pacific War
This article is part one of a two-part series. Read the 2nd part here: https://defensepoliticsasia.com/the-second-mexican-american-war/ There is, today, in Washington, a schism occurring between the major factions that operate within the American halls of power. On the one hand, we are presented with the stereotypical American politician, the chest-beating “Wilsonian Internationalist“, they who insist on…
Beyond the Ukraine Russian Conflict and the Implication and Consequences to Europe.
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[ Bakhmut Front ] PRIGOZHIN/WAGNER ANNOUNCE CAPTURE OF BAKHMUT; Not acknowledged by Ukraine side yet
Latest Russian frontline at Bakhmut City. Rybar’s mapping (pro-russian) had it extended well to the tree lines west of Bakhmut City. Russian forces are already preparing defense lines to defend the city. Ukrainian mappings had not caught up nor even acknowledged Wagner’s claims. Last update still talking about fighting at SW corner of Bakhmut. Rumors…
Shrouded in Obscurity: The Polisario Front’s Uncertain Track Record
After the Polisario congress, the situation at the Tindouf camp seemed to stabilize, with Polisario delegates resuming their normal activities and the separatist group returning to its traditional way of life. However, various unresolved issues reemerged immediately after the congress. These included external and internal problems, recognition challenges, military concerns, and opposition issues. The problems…
[ INDONESIA ] 1 NZ PILOT FOR INDEPENDENCE OF LAND BIGGER THAN GERMANY – Indonesia’s Papua Insurgency
The ongoing conflict in West Papua has recently captured the world’s attention with the abduction of New Zealand pilot PThe ongoing conflict in West #Papua has recently captured the world’s attention with the abduction of #NewZealand pilot Philip Mehrtens. Mehrtens was taken hostage and accused of violating a no-fly zone in the region by the…
[ PAKISTAN ] IMRAN KHAN ARRESTED! – Nationwide violent protest triggered; Rioters storms Military HQ
Hours after Pakistan’s former Prime Minister Imran Khan was arrested by Pakistan Rangers, his supporters barged into the house of the Corps Commanders House in Lahore Cantt. Imran Khan’s arrest comes a day after the Pakistani military rejected his accusations against a serving senior intelligence officer of involvement in his assassination attempt. Imran Khan doubled…
UKRAINE LAUNCH BAKHMUT OFFENSIVE – Huge amount of arty at Kherson; Zaporizhzhia offensive imminent
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[ Bakhmut ] UKRAINE LAST LINE OF DEFENSE – in the NWW part of city; Ukraine counter offensive begun
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Ukrainian forces launched their counter offensive in the Bakhmut Front as the Ukrainian “last line of defense” in the Northwest-West (NWW) part of Bakhmut began to be under siege. Ukrainian counterattacked from Chasiv Yar, Hryhorivka and Bohdanivka. In the NWW part of Bakhmut where the low-rise residential area, holds the…
Did UN voted to recognise Russian aggression on Ukraine?
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UKRAINE OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS REPORTED AT AVDIIVKA & BAKHMUT FRONT – Zaporizhzhia Offensive Imminent!
Update on Ukrainian Counter Offensive: Reports of Ukrainian forces deployed into the forward regions of the Zaporizhzhia Front at Orikhiv, Shcherbaky, Bilohirya, Charivne and Hulyaipole. Ukrainian offensive operations are reported on the 29th April happening concurrently at the Avdiivka and Bakhmut Front. Ukrainian forces attacked Vodyane in 2 different waves west of Avdiivka city, while…
RUSSIAN KILL BOX WORKING AS INTENDED – Ukrainian forces handicapping themselves with their strategy
Update on Russian Offensive: Russia’s Winter Offensive, transited into Spring Offensive – and its still ongoing – despite the fact the mainstream media had entirely forgotten about it with the hype mainly focusing on the impending Ukrainian Spring Offensive. Russian forces continues to hold their lines, bracing for the Ukrainian offensive, while pounding on any…
[ BAKHMUT ] WAGNER FORCES CLOSED UP ON THE ENTIRE EASTERN HALF OF “THE CITADEL” – Fighting in the North
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Latest reports suggest that the Russian forces have captured the entire garage area as well as the area around the Bakhmut Medical College. As a result, the Russian forces has effectively closed up the entire eastern surrounding of the western high-rise neighborhood, aka the Bakhmut Citadel. Fighting resumed on the…
[ BAKHMUT ] “BACK TO THE KEEP!!!” – Ukrainian forces abandon frontlines to the last defense line
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Massive changes to the frontlines as information came from all sources (pro-ukr, pro-rus, neutral) – that the Ukrainian forces has conducted withdrawn from the current active frontlines within Bakhmut. Given the tactical situation within Bakhmut, it looks like the Ukrainian forces has now fallen back to their last line of…
Singapore’s perspective on US-China relationship and the issue of Taiwan
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Singapore’s position on Russia-Ukraine War & it’s implication
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PRIGOZHIN: MUD NOT DRY YET – Ukraine land South of Kherson; Heavy probing in Kupyansk-Svatove Front
Update on Ukrainian Counter Offensive: Wagner PMC’s boss, Prigozhin gave insight on the environmental situation that the ground currently is still very muddy, and it would be another 10 days (from 22 April) before the ground would be dry. The reason why the Ukrainians have yet to launch their offensive. Ukrainian forces however are not…
[ BAKHMUT ] WW1-STYLE FIGHTING ON KHROMOVE ROAD – Russians capture high-rises West of train station
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Russian forces captured high rise buildings that previous formed a formidable defense lines west of the Bakhmut Railway Station no.2. This complicates the defensive posture of the Ukrainian forces within Bakhmut. From the north, Russian forces begun their attack into the garage region; while still trying to move towards the…
[ BAKHMUT ] WAGNER CAPTURE EVERYTHING EAST OF RAILWAY – Khromove road cut; Ukr counter SW of Bakhmut
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Latest geolocation from Bakhmut City suggest that the Ukrainian forces had entirely withdrawn from the eastern side of the railway line that goes through the center of Bakhmut City. Russian forces continue to make incremental progress in the northern frontlines as the Ukrainian forces are making a stand in the…
Ukrainian Misinformation Telegram Network discovered by Russian hackers
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[ BAKHMUT ] NORTHERN FRONTLINE COLLAPSED – Railway Station confirmed captured by Russian forces
Update from the Bakhmut Front: The NW, NNW Bakhmut frontline suffered a catastrophic collapse as Russian forces broke through and captured most of the NW districts. The industrial area were the grain elevator is, as well as the Bakhmut Railway Station No.2 is confirmed to be captured by Russian forces. The Ukrainian forces is holding…
REINFORCEMENT TO BAKHMUT DENIED – Wagner & VDV forces enters Bohdanivka; Railway station disputes
Update from the Bakhmut Front: The information of capture of the Bakhmut Railway Station No.2 is rolled back by DeepStateUA, as the station remains under the gray zone, with fighting still ongoing in the area. With the waning Ukrainian artillery support, Russian forces pressed their advantage on Khromove and Ivanivske. First reports of Russian forces…
[ Zaporizhzhia ] RUSSIA TOOK OUT 2 HIMARS AT ORIKHIV – Heavy bombardment all around Orikhiv region
Update from the Zaporizhzhia Front: Russian forces reportedly bombarded a warehouse next to the train station at Orikhiv with Smerch MLRS and Hyacinth artillery. 2 x HIMARS launchers, 1 x M777 artillery as well as other equipments + ammunition had been destroyed. Heavy shelling is also reported all around the Orikhiv region, suggesting major build…
[ BAKHMUT ] HEAVY FIGHTING AT CENTRAL TRAIN STATION – VDV forces reportedly now fighting in Bakhmut
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Heavy fighting for the Bakhmut central train station (No.2) was raging for the past 3 days; latest unconfirmed information suggests that the Ukrainian forces had been pushed out from the station in the evening of 10th April 2023. Ukrainian salient south and southeast of Avangard stadium had shrinked further, albeit…
UKRAINE MINING OSKIL RIVER BANKS – counter at Vodyane | Ukraine “Spring Offensive” Tracking: 8-10/4
Ukraine Spring Offensive Update: Ukrainian forces restarted probing Russian lines after 3 day pause that coincided with the news of NATO-US-Ukraine military document leak. Probing actions were reported at Synkivka and Novoselivske in the Kupyansk-Svatove Front, Volodymyrivka and Novosilka at the Donetsk Front. Counter offensive operations were reported NE of Vodyane at the Avdiivka front.…
Analysis/Dissection of Leaked US-NATO-Ukraine Military Documents by former professional soldiers
An unusual situation happened in the Ukraine-War-Infosphere, where a set of US-NATO-Ukraine military document had appeared online, in an apparently leak. People have mixed opinions about it, some think its legit, others believe its fake or misinformation. To “clear the air”, Wyatt of Defense Politics Asia, a former intel specialist from the Singapore Armed Forces,…
[ BAKHMUT ] UKRAINE FALLING BACK TO NEW LINE ALONG RAILWAY – Wagner progress 500m across city center
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Russian forces continue to speedy progress to move the frontlines in center Bakhmut by another 500m, or around 2 streets, as the Ukrainians seemed to be conducting tactical withdrawal to a new line of defense along the railway track. Fighting is now at the police station, near Bakhmut Railway Station…
WAGNER DOMINATING CENTER OF BAKHMUT – sign of Ukrainian forces moving to new line of defense in city
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Ukrainian forces abandoned the north half of the center of Bakhmut east of Bakhmut train station (no.2), as the Russian forces captured big swathes of the city south of AZOM plant. The Ukrainian controlled area around the Avangard Stadium in the southern frontlines in Bakhmut City is also shrinking as…
[ BAKHMUT ] WAGNER REACHES CENTRAL BAKHMUT – Prigozhin geolocated; Wagner fighting over SW exit
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Prigozhin unexpectedly appear “very near to the frontline”, spelling that the actual frontline is actually lot deeper into Bakhmut that previously expected. As such, reports of fighting has arrive to the central region of Bakhmut. Fighting continues in the rest of the southern frontlines, while Russian forces continue pushing towards…
[ Avdiivka Front ] UKRAINE SECURES STEPOVE – Russia swing North towards Lastochkyne from City’s SW
Update from the Avdiivka Front: Ukrainian forces’ counterattack succeeded, and managed to push the Russian forces eastward back to the railway tracks. However, Russian forces continue to attack in all directions in the Avdiivka, and with a interesting report from Ukrainian MoD suggesting Russian forces attacking SW of Avdiivka, swing northward towards Lastochkyne, where the…
[ Avdiivka ] BATTLE OF STEPOVE NOT OVER! – Russian forces held at the SW outskirt of Avdiivka
Update from the Avdiivka Front: Swirling rumors of Russian capture of Stepove is invalidated by both DeepStateUA and Rybar, as both sources claim fighting is still ongoing at Stepove. Updated information from the SW of Avdiivka suggest that the Russian forces is currently right at the outskirt of the 9th/Khimik District. Heavy pressure continue to…
[ BAKHMUT ] UKRAINE WITHDRAW FROM SALIENT IN SOUTH BAKHMUT – counter attacking near city centre!
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Ukrainian forces in the most southern part of Bakhmut City withdrew northward to avoid encirclement, while they launch a counterattack at the Russian forces. Russian forces continue to put pressure across entire frontlines. Watch the entire video for the full Situation Report (SITREP).
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AVDIIVKA DEFENSE LINES COLLAPSED – Russia entered SW Avdiivka; entered Stepove; reaching Berdychi
Update from the Avdiivka Front: Russian forces broke through the defense lines north of Avdiivka as Russian and Donetsk forces entered Stepove and heading towards Berdychi, corroborated by Ukraine MoD. In the SW of Avdiivka, Russian forces broke through the final trench lines north of Optyne, and as per the latest report from pro-Russian sources,…
[ Bakhmut Front ] WAGNER FORCES EXPANDS CONTROL NORTH OF BOHDANIVKA; closing on Hryhorivka
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Russian forces captured the region NE of Bodanivka and straighten the frontline all the way to the eastern outskirt of Hryhorivka. Fighting is also reported west of Dubovo-Vasylivka towards the canal. Ukrainian forces counter attacked west and SW of Ivanivske and recaptured most of the forest region, while Russian forces…
RUSSIA CLOSING ON AVDIIVKA COKE PLANT – Russian forces expanding control south of Krasnohorivka
Update from the Avdiivka Front: DeepStateUA concede the lost of Krasnohorivka as their mapping shows the Ukrainian forces are entirely on the outskirt of the town. South of Krasnohorivka, Russian forces expanded their control and are now moving in the direction of the Avdiivka Coke Plant. Watch the entire video for the full Situation Report…
[ BAKHMUT ] 500 METERS FROM ADMINISTRATION BUILDING – Wagner Forces progress in the S & SW Bakhmut
Update from the Bakhmut Front: Russian forces made progress in the south as the Wagner fighters are now fighting along the Mariupolska Street. From this position, the Wagner PMC forces are merely within 500meters from the city admin building. Russian forces also progressed in the SW of the city as they come close to the…
UKRAINE ZAPORIZHZHIA OFFENSIVE – Ukraine launches major ground ops south of Orikhiv/Novodanylivka
Update from the Zaporizhzhia Front: Ukrainian forces launch major ground offensive towards Robotyne, from Novodanylivka, in the Orikhiv node of the Zaporizhzhia Line. In the latest update from Rybar (19/3), a pro-Russian source, the Ukrainian forces launch a pincer attack on Robotyne in 2 directions, with smoke screen covering their movements from the Russian defenders.…
[ Analysis ] SECRET PLAN OF UKRAINE’S SPRING OFFENSIVE : to wipe out Wagner PMC in the Bakhmut Front
There is A LOT of talk about Ukraine upcoming Spring Offensive; so much so that, even the Ukrainian military and leadership themselves had alluded to the existence of the plan to conduct a major offensive in spring 2023 (weird). But the Wagner’s offensive is relentless and it seemed like its nearly impossible for the Ukrainian…
[ Analysis ] Secret plan of Wagner PMC in their Bakhmut Offensive
In a curious turn of event, Zelenskyy puts out a very public video, claiming that he accepted his generals’ decision to stay and fight for Bakhmut; instead of the tactical/organised withdrawal that is reportedly underway. This could either be Zelenskyy throwing the generals under the bus; or perhaps the generals indeed is responding to the…
[ Analysis ] 3 weak spots of Ukraine’s Avdiivka Front that can cause operational encirclement
Russian forces are currently stepping up their Avdiivka Offensive, where OSINT reports bigger and heavier bombs being used on the city targets. Russian forces are also attacking across the entire front, from Pervomaiske all the way to Avdiivka itself on the western flank, and from Kamyanka all the way to Novokalynove on the northern flank.…
[ Battle of Bakhmut ] DEFYING Prigozhin/Wagner: NO RETREAT despite abandoning Khromove & E.Bakhmut
2 more bridges were blown up by the Ukrainian forces, as limited withdrawal from Khromove and eastern part of Bakhmut had been reported. However, Ukrainian forces are not retreating from Bakhmut, not yet. Reinforcement of Special Operation Forces of the Ukrainian side had reportedly arrived in Bakhmut to continue to hold the lines, to replace…
[ Bryansk-Chernihiv ] Deliberate PROVOCATION to elicit reaction with daring raid into Russia
Ukrainian forces crossed the Ukraine-Russian border into Russian territory itself and conducted a daring raid on 2 border villages/towns in the Bryansk region. Fighting was reported at Liubechane and Sushany between the raiding forces with “Russian Volunteer Corp” elements and the Russian security forces. Some local infrastructure were reportedly damaged. As of the latest information,…
[ Bakhmut ] Prigozhin TAUNTS Ukraine to withdraw as noose tighten on Ukrainian defenders in Bakhmut
Wagner forces continue to make progress in the Area of Operation around Bakhmut, as they captured the meat processing plant region, progressing in the NE and SE of Bakhmut; as well as coming less than 200m from the Korsunskogo street. On the western part of Ivanivske, Russian forces also progressed in the forest and now…
[ Bakhmut ] Spies claim Ukraine MUTINY in Bakhmut; Collapse imminent as Wagner resumes offensive!
Wagner forces after an operational pause for the logistics to catch up, resumes their offensive to complete the operational encirclement of the Ukrainian forces in Bakhmut. Fighting is now reported at Khromove and the Russian forces in the SW of Bakhmut is merely 200m from Korsunskogo street. Russian forces are also pushing to retake control…
[ Bakhmut ] Ukraine MUST withdraw frm Bakhmut NOW; Wagner forces merely 1km and 400m away frm roads!
Russian forces in yet another “surprise advance”, is merely 1km from Khromove road. And in the south Bakhmut, Russian forces are just 300-400meters away from the Bakhmut-Konstyantynivka highway. With the northern route under Russian fire control, and the southern route under severe threat, there is only one small road left that leads from west Bakhmut…