Geopolitics
ARTICLES
Iran War has resumed. Here’s why
The Iran war is back, it has resumed, and everything turned out exactly as I have explained to you guys previously. The situation is unfolding precisely as I expected, and we need to break down exactly why this is happening. First things first: US Central Command (CENTCOM) has announced a massive round of strikes against…
The Islamabad MOU Dissected: Why the US-Iran “Deal” is a Soft Surrender, Not an Iranian Victory
The highly anticipated agreement between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran is finally here. Signed by US President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian—with Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif acting as a mediator and guarantor—the “Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding (MOU)” has sent shockwaves through global media. Mainstream coverage and online commentators…
Thucydides Trap doesnt always lead to challenger winning.
I saw a lot of misreading of the “Thucydides Trap” Yes, there may be rising powers to challenge the hegemony or main dominant power of the day – and often happens frequently. But people are forgetting, a lot of the challengers actually lost their fight to overtake the dominant power. Thucydides Trap doesnt mean the…
AWESOME MEETING!!! Xi Jinping & Trump heralds NEW POSITIONING between USA & China
The meeting went better than anyone expected. Xi Jinping and Donald Trump walked out of Beijing with smiles, handshakes, and language that signals a genuine strategic recalibration from China. This is not just diplomatic theater. Something has shifted. At the state banquet, Xi said something remarkable: “Achieving the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and…
Trump-Xi Pre-Meeting Analysis: Xi Jinping hands are tied – Trump lands in Beijing with the upperhand
Trump is heading to Beijing—his first visit since the first term. This is not a meeting between equals. Xi Jinping is walking into a negotiation where the Americans already hold every card that matters. The board is set. China can only decide how gracefully to lose. Japan Changed Everything The biggest shift in East Asia…
Iran Negotiations Collapse: Why Phase Two of the War is About to Begin
The negotiations have collapsed, exactly as I predicted. The talks between Iran and the United States went the way of a complete breakdown, and the core problem is simple: Iran cannot give up any of its trump cards—ironically Trump’s cards—and the United States firmly believes it is on the winning side. Both sides are stuck.…
The AI Space Race: Why SpaceX is Bailing Out Anthropic
Absolutely insane news in the AI world today. xAI—or more accurately, SpaceX, since they’ve effectively merged operations—is going to provide Anthropic with access to Colossus 1, the world’s largest supercomputer cluster. This is mind-melting. xAI is a direct competitor to Anthropic. Grok competes directly with Claude. You would think Elon Musk would hoard this enormous…
The Great Pivot: Why the UAE Just Quit OPEC and Went All-In on the USA
In a move that has sent shockwaves through global energy markets and geopolitical circles, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has officially announced its withdrawal from OPEC and the OPEC+ alliance, effective May 1, 2026. This isn’t just a change in oil policy—it’s a massive geopolitical realignment. The UAE is no longer content playing “second fiddle”…
The Moscow Pivot: Iran’s Disillusionment with China and the Rush for Russian Expertise
In a move that signals a seismic shift in Middle Eastern power dynamics, Iranian leadership has pivoted sharply toward the Kremlin. Following the recent pause in the 40-day conflict with the United States and Israel, the Iranian Foreign Minister traveled to Moscow for a high-stakes meeting with Vladimir Putin. This visit is not merely a…
Ukraine 2000–2022 | How to Destroy a Nation: Part 3 (END)
First Published on https://carloperoni.substack.com/p/ukraine-20002022-how-to-destroy-a-4dd?r=5l7dpt In the previous article, we left off with President Yanukovych fleeing Kyiv after the devastating violence in Maidan Square. This event would lead to the formation of a new government and the beginning of a long civil war, whose brutality would later escalate into the worst human catastrophe of modern European…
Nepal’s revolution reveals insanity in analysis and oxymoron in information consumers
People/analysts had been obsessed over their conspiracy theories on whether Nepal is a CIA/West initiated color revolution… ….but no one really cares what the population really think/feel. The Nepali people are very happy with the overthrowing of the government. “wehatethecold” shows the reality after the overthrow with the military curfew – unfiltered. You really need…
Thailand-Cambodia War will become the Trojan Horse for a permanent China military presence in Indochina
As I had reported in my Day 1 SITREP on the Thailand – Cambodia conflict, it was extremely unclear as to why, the weaker and smaller country of the two, whom also have a military that is a lot weaker than it’s adversary, would decide to “ask for a war” by shelling civilian areas with…
Iran vs Israel — The Morality Cards Game You Cannot Lose
First Publish on 18 June 2025, on For a Multipolar World substack. With the surprise attack operation launched by Israel against Iran in the last few days, the media and political focus shifted once again—from Ukraine and Gaza to the Iran-Israel conflict. As we have already experienced twice in the last three years, we were…
🇮🇳 🇵🇰 Operation Sindoor: Diplomatic tensions rise as Pakistan counteracts India’s military actions
In recent developments, the Indian government has implemented significant measures in response to ongoing tensions with Pakistan. Following the military operation known as “Operation Sindoor,” which aimed to neutralize cross-border threats, Pakistan has initiated a diplomatic outreach campaign led by Foreign Minister Bilawal Bhutto. This outreach aims to counter the narratives and actions stemming from…
🇨🇳🇵🇰🇮🇳 Recent Developments in China-Pakistan Relations and India-Bangladesh Trade Dynamics
In recent geopolitical developments, China has extended its satellite support to Pakistan, as reported by a research group under the Indian Defence Ministry. This move signifies a strengthening of ties between Beijing and Islamabad, which may have implications for regional security dynamics. Additionally, the trade relations between India and Bangladesh are reportedly fraying, with Bangladesh…
🇮🇳🇵🇰 Recent geopolitical developments between India and Pakistan have brought significant military and diplomatic actions to the forefront. – 17 May 2025
The Indian government has reopened the Wagah-Attari border for Afghanistan transit trucks, effectively resuming crucial trade routes that had been disrupted for weeks. This move is particularly important as it facilitates the movement of goods and demonstrates India’s commitment to maintaining regional stability. In a noteworthy response to escalating tensions, India has launched Operation Sindoor,…
🇨🇳🇮🇳🇺🇸🇷🇺🇵🇰🇯🇵 China’s Strategic Moves in Global Geopolitics and Economics – 17 May 2025
Recent developments have highlighted China’s evolving role in global geopolitics and economics, showcasing significant actions that could reshape international relations. China has dropped to the third-largest holder of U.S. Treasury securities, following the UK and Japan, a strategic maneuver that reflects its shifting economic focus amidst ongoing trade tensions with the United States. This change…
US-CHINA TRADE TRUCE AND GLOBAL TENSIONS
In recent developments, the geopolitical landscape continues to shift with significant implications for global trade and security. The United States and China have reached a 90-day truce aimed at easing trade tensions, a move that may provide temporary relief to macroeconomic outlooks. This truce, however, does not resolve the longstanding issues that have characterized the…
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