Geopolitics
Iran War has resumed. Here’s why
The Iran war is back, it has resumed, and everything turned out exactly as I have explained to you guys previously. The situation is unfolding precisely as I expected, and we need to break down exactly why this is happening. First things first: US Central Command (CENTCOM) has announced a massive round of strikes against…
Read MoreThe Islamabad MOU Dissected: Why the US-Iran “Deal” is a Soft Surrender, Not an Iranian Victory
The highly anticipated agreement between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran is finally here. Signed by US President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian—with Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif acting as a mediator and guarantor—the “Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding (MOU)” has sent shockwaves through global media. Mainstream coverage and online commentators…
Read MoreThucydides Trap doesnt always lead to challenger winning.
I saw a lot of misreading of the “Thucydides Trap” Yes, there may be rising powers to challenge the hegemony or main dominant power of the day – and often happens frequently. But people are forgetting, a lot of the challengers actually lost their fight to overtake the dominant power. Thucydides Trap doesnt mean the…
Read MoreAWESOME MEETING!!! Xi Jinping & Trump heralds NEW POSITIONING between USA & China
The meeting went better than anyone expected. Xi Jinping and Donald Trump walked out of Beijing with smiles, handshakes, and language that signals a genuine strategic recalibration from China. This is not just diplomatic theater. Something has shifted. At the state banquet, Xi said something remarkable: “Achieving the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and…
Read MoreTrump-Xi Pre-Meeting Analysis: Xi Jinping hands are tied – Trump lands in Beijing with the upperhand
Trump is heading to Beijing—his first visit since the first term. This is not a meeting between equals. Xi Jinping is walking into a negotiation where the Americans already hold every card that matters. The board is set. China can only decide how gracefully to lose. Japan Changed Everything The biggest shift in East Asia…
Read MoreIran Negotiations Collapse: Why Phase Two of the War is About to Begin
The negotiations have collapsed, exactly as I predicted. The talks between Iran and the United States went the way of a complete breakdown, and the core problem is simple: Iran cannot give up any of its trump cards—ironically Trump’s cards—and the United States firmly believes it is on the winning side. Both sides are stuck.…
Read MoreThe AI Space Race: Why SpaceX is Bailing Out Anthropic
Absolutely insane news in the AI world today. xAI—or more accurately, SpaceX, since they’ve effectively merged operations—is going to provide Anthropic with access to Colossus 1, the world’s largest supercomputer cluster. This is mind-melting. xAI is a direct competitor to Anthropic. Grok competes directly with Claude. You would think Elon Musk would hoard this enormous…
Read MoreThe Great Pivot: Why the UAE Just Quit OPEC and Went All-In on the USA
In a move that has sent shockwaves through global energy markets and geopolitical circles, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has officially announced its withdrawal from OPEC and the OPEC+ alliance, effective May 1, 2026. This isn’t just a change in oil policy—it’s a massive geopolitical realignment. The UAE is no longer content playing “second fiddle”…
Read MoreThe Moscow Pivot: Iran’s Disillusionment with China and the Rush for Russian Expertise
In a move that signals a seismic shift in Middle Eastern power dynamics, Iranian leadership has pivoted sharply toward the Kremlin. Following the recent pause in the 40-day conflict with the United States and Israel, the Iranian Foreign Minister traveled to Moscow for a high-stakes meeting with Vladimir Putin. This visit is not merely a…
Read MoreUkraine 2000–2022 | How to Destroy a Nation: Part 3 (END)
First Published on https://carloperoni.substack.com/p/ukraine-20002022-how-to-destroy-a-4dd?r=5l7dpt In the previous article, we left off with President Yanukovych fleeing Kyiv after the devastating violence in Maidan Square. This event would lead to the formation of a new government and the beginning of a long civil war, whose brutality would later escalate into the worst human catastrophe of modern European…
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