Geopolitics

Iran War has resumed. Here’s why

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 10, 2026

The Iran war is back, it has resumed, and everything turned out exactly as I have explained to you guys previously. The situation is unfolding precisely as I expected, and we need to break down exactly why this is happening. First things first: US Central Command (CENTCOM) has announced a massive round of strikes against…

The Islamabad MOU Dissected: Why the US-Iran “Deal” is a Soft Surrender, Not an Iranian Victory

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | June 19, 2026

The highly anticipated agreement between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran is finally here. Signed by US President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian—with Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif acting as a mediator and guarantor—the “Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding (MOU)” has sent shockwaves through global media. Mainstream coverage and online commentators…

Thucydides Trap doesnt always lead to challenger winning.

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | May 15, 2026

I saw a lot of misreading of the “Thucydides Trap” Yes, there may be rising powers to challenge the hegemony or main dominant power of the day – and often happens frequently. But people are forgetting, a lot of the challengers actually lost their fight to overtake the dominant power. Thucydides Trap doesnt mean the…

ARTICLES

[ AP ] Detainee says China has secret jail in Dubai, holds Uyghurs

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 17, 2021

A young Chinese woman says she was held for eight days at a Chinese-run secret detention facility in Dubai along with at least two Uyghurs, in what may be the first evidence that China is operating a so-called “black site” beyond its borders.  The woman, 26-year-old Wu Huan, was on the run to avoid extradition…

[ Mothership ] A glimpse inside an overloaded US military plane with over 600 Afghans fleeing country

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 17, 2021

The cargo plane, which was one of the many which were able to take off with hundreds of civilians on board, was carrying over five times of its suggested load as it departed. Over 600 Afghans, including women and children, were packed into that space. Some of the other flights may have had an even…

[ Jamestown Foundation ] Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan’s Latest Merger Enables Renewed Attacks in Pakistan

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 16, 2021

The Pakistani Taliban, known as Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), announced on August 7 that it had merged with a former al-Qaeda-affiliated, anti-state Pakistani jihadist group once led by Ustad Aslam (Umar Media, August 7). It becomes the ninth jihadist group to join the TTP since July 2020. Among the other groups are three TTP splinters, two…

Taliban: The war is over in Afghanistan

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 16, 2021

Taliban spokesman, Mohammad Naeem, for the Taliban’s political office told Al-Jazeera Mubasher TV that the war is over and that the type of rule and the form of regime will be clear soon. This happens as Afghanistan President, Ashraf Ghani fled Afghanistan to Tashkent, Uzbekistan, saying that he wanted to avoid bloodshed – a move…

Petition to call for UN recognition of Myanmar’s National Unity Government (NUG) underway

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 13, 2021

A petition is started on Change.org by “Nang Si Si Win NUG support group Australia” to call for the recognition of Myanmar’s government in exile, the National Unity Government (NUG) by the United Nations General Assembly. When we first encountered the petition, it was around 7000 signed. Currently as of the writing of the article,…

[ Business Insider ] Chinese sleeper agents are trying to enter the UK through a scheme designed for Hong Kongers fleeing the city, report says

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 10, 2021

– Chinese agents are trying to enter the UK with a visa designed to give refuge to Hong Kongers. – Sources told The Times agents try use the visa introduced after China’s new national security law. – It is not clear if any have been successful, and the UK government said it has a strict vetting process.…

[ The Guardian ] Myanmar duo arrested in New York over plot to kill UN ambassador

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 7, 2021

Two Myanmar citizens have been arrested in New York state for plotting with an arms dealer in Thailand – who sells weapons to the Burmese military – to kill or injure Myanmar’s ambassador to the United Nations. The US attorney’s office for the southern district of New York said on Friday that Phyo Hein Htut, 28, and…

[ SCMP ] Biden administration approves its first arms sale to Taiwan

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 5, 2021

The potential US$750 million deal includes 40 new M109 self-propelled howitzers and almost 1,700 kits to convert projectiles into more precise GPS-guided munitions The proposed sale would improve Taiwan’s capability to blunt a Chinese land invasion The US State Department notified Congress on Wednesday of a proposal to sell some US$750 million of weapons to…

[ CNN Philippines ] Duterte admits US vaccine donations persuaded him to cancel VFA termination

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 5, 2021

https://www.cnn.ph/news/2021/8/3/Duterte-US-vaccine-donations-cancelation-of-VFA-termination.html President Rodrigo Duterte revealed on Monday that COVID-19 vaccine donations from the United States played a role in his decision to recall the termination of the Visiting Forces Agreement. “Give and take lang tayo, so pasalamat tayo sa kanila at may naibigay naman ako sa kanila na (we thank them, and I also gave them a) concession,”…

[ The Jerusalem Strategic Tribute ] Can America Regain Global Leadership? A View From Singapore

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 4, 2021

Can America regain global leadership? The question reflects the shock and dismay with which foreign policy establishments in North America and Europe greeted and viewed Donald Trump’s election as the 45th president of the United States. They came to regard what Trump said and did in office between 2017 and 2021 as a repudiation of…

[ Reuters ] U.S., Britain believe Iran attacked Israeli-managed tanker off Oman

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | August 3, 2021

“Upon review of the available information, we are confident that Iran conducted this attack, which killed two innocent people, using one-way explosive UAVs,” U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in a statement, adding there was “no justification” for the attack. “We are working with our partners to consider our next steps and consulting with…

[ Frontline ] What Is the Fatemiyoun Brigade and Why Does It Make the Taliban Nervous?

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 29, 2021

In the new FRONTLINE report Leaving Afghanistan, correspondent Najibullah Quraishi investigated how Afghanistan’s neighbors — particularly Iran, through its proxy militia, the Fatemiyoun — are looking to fill the void as America withdraws. Quraishi spoke to Taliban leaders and former fighters who claimed Iran is mobilizing the Shia Fatemiyoun within Afghanistan. In return, a Sunni Taliban leader…

[ SCMP ] China pledges support for Taliban in Afghanistan, but demands end to ETIM ties

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 29, 2021

Foreign Minister Wang Yi tells delegation there is no room for links with terror group it blames for Xinjiang attacks Taliban spokesman says meeting in Tianjin covered political, economic and security issues as well as peace process China has pledged support for the Taliban’s role in Afghanistan’s reconstruction, while demanding that it cuts ties with the East Turkestan…

The lack of leadership in the UN exposed by the Myanmar crisis

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 29, 2021

As the monsoon season hits Myanmar, floods turning the plight of the Burmese facing the double threat of both persecution by the military-rules regime and COVID-19 virus into a hellish triple threat. Despite the obvious problem with the military overthrowing the election results, and mandating a one year postponement of a re-election (which there is…

[ USNI News ] Two Iranian Warships Spotted Near English Channel

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 19, 2021

Two Iranian warships are nearing the English Channel, according to satellite photographs reviewed by USNI News. The ships are thought to be headed to the Baltic Sea to represent Iran in a July 25 naval parade off the coast of St. Petersburg to commemorate the 325th anniversary of the Russian Navy

[ The Geopolitics ] The Philippines’ Maoist Guerillas Vow to Resist ‘Imperialist China’

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 19, 2021

…although the network holds deep historical and ideological affinities with Chinese Maoism, they now view contemporary China as a capitalist and imperialist power that is actively violating Philippine sovereignty using a variety of coercive economic and military means, thus making the Chinese state an adversary to be resisted. The recent 100th anniversary of the Communist Party of China (CPC)…

[ The Guardian ] Pakistan detains five Chinese trawlers for alleged illegal fishing

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 15, 2021

Pakistan has detained five Chinese trawlers on suspicion of illegal fishing near its strategic port city of Gwadar, as a wave of protests swept across the region led by fishers concerned about losing control of their fishing grounds to China. The Chinese trawlers, loaded with fish, were taken into custody by the Pakistan Maritime Security…

[ Nikkei Asia ] US does not support Taiwan independence: Kurt Campbell

By Wyatt Mingji Lim | July 9, 2021

 U.S President Joe Biden’s point man on Asia is “astonished” by China’s determination to play the leading role on the global stage and will “step up” its engagement in Southeast Asia to hold back such a trend. But the administration does not support Taiwan independence and understands the sensitivities involved, Indo-Pacific Coordinator Kurt Campbell said…

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